Friday, July 22, 2011

Top 3 Pure Silver Stocks for the Rest of 2011

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Top 3 Pure Silver Stocks for the Rest of 2011
By Luke Burgess | Friday, July 22nd, 2011

The price of gold reached an all-time high of nearly $1,610 an ounce this week as new buyers continue to stream into the market, seeking safe haven from the U.S. dollar and a shaky global economy.

Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) continues to show a surge in gold buying from large financial institutions and money managers, despite record prices.

But while gold continues to shine in the limelight, silver has been the real moneymaker...

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The price of silver has surged over 50% since the beginning of the year, making it the single best performing major commodity of 2011 so far.

Metals  Year-to-Date Performance Other Commodities Year-to-Date Performance
Gold +12.58% Crude Oil +9.24%
Silver +50.82% Natural Gas +8.47%
Copper -0.25% U.S. Dollar Index -5.20%
Platinum +0.51% Corn +20.53%
Palladium -0.50% Cotton -21.31%

Silver has been the top-performing commodity, virtually blowing everything else out of the water...

So it may come as a surprise that some silver stocks have lagged.

Take look at the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE: SIL), which lists 25 of the world's top silver mining companies. For the year, SIL is virtually flat.

july 2011 sil

Despite a 50% gain in silver bullion prices, the world's top 25 silver miners (as per their listing in SIL) haven't moved but only slightly higher.

There's a reason for this: The majority of silver that is mined around the world is produced as a by-product of another metal or group of metals. These frequently include gold, copper, lead, and zinc. Only about 20% of the world's silver comes from mines where silver is the primary metal, which means producers are often subject to price volatility among others metals.

Sometimes, this can be beneficial for the company; other times, it is not. And while the price of gold has been steadily increasing over the past few months, base metal prices remain relatively flat, dragging down on producers a bit.

There are other types of silver producers that we refer to as “primary” silver companies. A primary silver company is one that generates more than 50% of its revenue from the production and sale of silver.

With silver outperforming all other metals, primary silver companies have been leading the pack in stock gains over the past several weeks.

Take First Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG), for example...

july 2011 ag
First Majestic Silver is one of the purest silver plays on the market. The company owns and operates three primary silver mines in Mexico: La Parrilla, San Martin, and La Encantada.

Shares of AG have risen more than 60% for the year.

First Majestic generates 85% of its revenue through the production and sale of silver. The rest of the company's revenue is generated through gold, lead, and zinc.

july 2011 ag silverFirst Majestic expects to increase total silver output from its operations to 7.5 million ounces of silver in 2011, and up to 16.0 million ounces by 2014.

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Here are two more primary silver companies that should be set to continue doing very well with rising silver prices...

Pan American Silver (NASDAQ: PAAS) is one of the world's largest primary silver producers.

july 2011 paas

Revenue by Metal

july 2011 paas silver

july 2011 tab

Pan American has seven operating mines in Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia. Last year was the company's fifteenth consecutive year of silver production growth, with a record 24.3 million ounces of silver produced.

In 2011, Pan American expects to produce 24.0 million ounces of silver and 78,000 ounces of gold.

Silver Standard (NASDAQ: SSRI) has the largest in-ground silver resource of any publicly-traded primary silver company, with a pipeline of 15 projects ranging from grassroots exploration to production in Argentina, Peru, Mexico, Canada, Chile, the United States, and Australia.

july 2011 ssri Revenue by Metal
july 2011 ssri silver
july 2011 tab

Silver Standard expects to produce a total of 8.5 million ounces of silver in 2011.

Alternatives to Primary Silver Stocks

The obvious (and best) alternative to investing in primary silver stocks is to invest in the physical metal itself.

Owning physical silver is easy and affordable. Investors can choose among a wide variety of physical bullion options from both private and government minters.

Other good alternatives to investing in primary silver stocks include silver ETFs like the iShares Silver Trust Fund (NYSE: SLV). Silver royalty and streaming companies, like Silver Wheaton Corp (NYSE: SLW), also make good alternatives to silver mining stocks.

Good investing,

Luke Burgess
Analyst, Wealth Daily
Investment Director, Hard Money Millionaire and Underground Profits

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Wealth Daily Blogs


Economic Releases for the week of Monday, July 25th, 2011:

Jul 26 - Case Stiller 20 City Index
Jul 27 - MBA Mortgage Purchase Index
Jul 29 - Chicago PMI
Jul 26 - Consumer Confidence
Jul 28 - Pending Home Sales
Jul 26 - New Home Sales
Jul 27 - Durable Orders
Jul 27 - Fed's Beige Book
Jul 29 - Michigan Sentiment

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